Superforecasting: E Pluribus Analysis

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Experts draw on years of experience to detect patterns and make predictions when facing novel situations. US Secret Service Assistant Special Agent In Charge James Huse (Masters 1601/2) investigates decision making, cognitive biases, and how expert performance compares to those of novices with the same information.

 

 


The Reflecting Pool

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1 Response

  1. Lawrence Frost says:

    Very interesting analysis.

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